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Model favoured Celta Vigo · expected score 1–1 · actual 0–0.
The model rates Real Oviedo higher than the consensus here. Observation only — the market consensus is typically sharper.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% |
Probabilities derived from the model's expected goals. For analysis only.
Starting XI & formation from the official line-up. Positions are by line (GK/DEF/MID/FWD).
Real Oviedo and Celta Vigo played out a goalless draw at the Estadio Carlos Tartiere on matchday 17. Despite Oviedo enjoying significantly more possession-based activity with ten shots to their visitors' six, neither side managed to find the net. The most notable momentum shift came in the 90th minute, when the balance of play tilted marginally towards Celta, though it proved too late to alter the outcome.
The underlying metrics reflected an even contest between the two sides. Oviedo generated 0.61 xG whilst Celta accumulated 0.63, confirming that the stalemate accurately represented the balance of chances created throughout the match. Neither team's attacking play proved incisive enough to break the deadlock, resulting in a draw that leaves both sides with a point apiece.
AI-assisted, generated only from this match's xG, shots and win-probability model.
Win probability from a strength-based Poisson model (team attack/defence ratings → expected goals, projected over the time remaining).