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Model favoured Real Oviedo · expected score 1–1 · actual 0–0.
The model rates Draw lower than the consensus here. Observation only — the market consensus is typically sharper.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% |
Probabilities derived from the model's expected goals. For analysis only.
Starting XI & formation from the official line-up. Positions are by line (GK/DEF/MID/FWD).
Real Oviedo and Mallorca played out a goalless draw in an encounter that remained tightly contested throughout. Oviedo created the clearest opportunity of the match when Nacho Vidal came close in the 87th minute, but his effort was saved. Despite dominating possession in terms of shot count, with 15 attempts to Mallorca's 13, Oviedo were unable to break through their visitors' defence.
The underlying statistics reflected an even contest, with Oviedo's xG of 1.09 marginally exceeding Mallorca's 0.81, suggesting the home side slightly edged the balance of chances. The biggest momentum shift came in the final moments, swinging slightly in Mallorca's favour. Ultimately, the scoreline reflected the quality of football on display, with neither team able to capitalise sufficiently on their opportunities to claim victory.
AI-assisted, generated only from this match's xG, shots and win-probability model.
Win probability from a strength-based Poisson model (team attack/defence ratings → expected goals, projected over the time remaining).