Manchester City and Nottingham Forest played out a 2-2 draw at the Etihad on Matchday 29. Antoine Semenyo gave City an early lead in the 31st minute, but Morgan Gibbs-White equalised for Forest in the 56th. Rodri restored City's advantage with a goal in the 62nd minute, only for Elliot Anderson to level the match again in the 76th minute with a significant swing in momentum towards the visitors.

The underlying numbers tell a story of City's dominance that went unrewarded. Manchester City generated 2.01 xG from 21 shots, substantially outperforming Nottingham Forest's 0.98 xG from nine attempts. City squandered notable opportunities, including a big chance for Savinho in the 90th minute and a Marc Guéhi header in the 86th that found the woodwork. Forest made their limited chances count, with Gibbs-White and Anderson both converting low-xG opportunities to secure a draw that defied the match's overall pattern of play.