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Premier League 2023/24. An xG-based strength rating from the rolling win-probability model. Power is the expected goal difference per match against an average team — ratings update after every game, so this reflects end-of-season form, not just the final table.
| # | Team | Power | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | +1.79 | 1.65 | 0.62 |
| 2 | Liverpool | +1.70 | 1.82 | 0.91 |
| 3 | Arsenal | +1.52 | 1.48 | 0.63 |
| 4 | Newcastle United | +1.41 | 1.69 | 0.98 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | +0.71 | 1.15 | 0.87 |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur | +0.65 | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| 7 | Chelsea | +0.65 | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| 8 | Nottingham Forest | +0.53 | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | +0.45 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | +0.18 | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| 11 | Brentford | +0.10 | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| 12 | Everton | +0.05 | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| 13 | Fulham | +0.04 | 0.96 | 1.17 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | -0.17 | 1.01 | 1.40 |
| 15 | Manchester United | -0.20 | 0.98 | 1.38 |
| 16 | West Ham United | -0.26 | 0.94 | 1.37 |
| 17 | Burnley | -0.44 | 0.93 | 1.51 |
| 18 | Sheffield United | -0.55 | 0.88 | 1.52 |
| 19 | Luton Town | -0.61 | 0.74 | 1.41 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | -0.90 | 0.71 | 1.60 |
Attack/Defence are multipliers vs league average (1.00). Attack > 1 = creates more xG than average; Defence < 1 = concedes less. Power = expected xG for − against vs an average opponent.