Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyesprediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sat, 7 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Paris Saint-GermainTroyes

Paris Saint-Germain 82%Draw 12%Troyes 6%

Expected score

3–1

Over 2.5 goals

79%

Both teams score

59%

The rolling-strength model makes Paris Saint-Germain the favourites at 82% — Paris Saint-Germain 82%, the draw 12% and Troyes 6%. The most likely scoreline is 3–1, with a 79% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.