Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouseprediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sun, 1 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Olympique de MarseilleToulouse

Olympique de Marseille 44%Draw 24%Toulouse 33%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

71%

Both teams score

70%

The rolling-strength model makes Olympique de Marseille the favourites at 44% — Olympique de Marseille 44%, the draw 24% and Toulouse 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 71% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.