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xG Lab

Expected pointsxPts

The points a team would expect from a match given the xG of both sides, simulated across possible scorelines, then summed over a season. It estimates where the table 'should' be on chance quality.

xPts leaders · Premier League 2026/27

Season totals, updated daily.

  1. 1Arsenal17.8
  2. 2Manchester City16.4
  3. 3Bournemouth15.8
  4. 4Nottingham Forest14.7
  5. 5Brighton & Hove Albion14.1
  6. 6Tottenham Hotspur13.9
  7. 7Fulham13.8
  8. 8Liverpool13.6
  9. 9Brentford12.5
  10. 10Leeds United12.5
Full team rankings →

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