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Premier League 2024/25. An xG-based strength rating from the rolling win-probability model. Power is the expected goal difference per match against an average team — ratings update after every game, so this reflects end-of-season form, not just the final table.
| # | Team | Power | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | +1.12 | 1.34 | 0.78 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | +0.93 | 1.36 | 0.95 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | +0.90 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 4 | Arsenal | +0.87 | 1.22 | 0.83 |
| 5 | Liverpool | +0.86 | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| 6 | Brentford | +0.76 | 1.19 | 0.87 |
| 7 | Chelsea | +0.65 | 0.98 | 0.70 |
| 8 | Manchester United | +0.62 | 1.09 | 0.86 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | +0.53 | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | +0.39 | 0.95 | 0.87 |
| 11 | Everton | +0.35 | 0.91 | 0.85 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | +0.34 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| 13 | West Ham United | +0.13 | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton | +0.07 | 0.87 | 1.02 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | +0.03 | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | -0.17 | 0.91 | 1.27 |
| 17 | Fulham | -0.18 | 0.84 | 1.19 |
| 18 | Ipswich Town | -0.41 | 0.68 | 1.17 |
| 19 | Leicester City | -0.63 | 0.60 | 1.25 |
| 20 | Southampton | -1.05 | 0.56 | 1.53 |
Attack/Defence are multipliers vs league average (1.00). Attack > 1 = creates more xG than average; Defence < 1 = concedes less. Power = expected xG for − against vs an average opponent.