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Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026
AI preview
Napoli are favoured clearly with a 49 per cent win probability against Milan's 26 per cent, though a draw at 25 per cent remains plausible. The expected goals model projects Napoli to 2.15 and Milan to 1.38. Napoli have won two of their last five with two draws and one loss, whilst Milan's recent record shows three wins, one draw and one loss from five matches.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Napoli the favourites at 47% — Napoli 47%, the draw 26% and Milan 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 63% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.