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Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026
AI preview
Lazio are narrow favourites (39% to win) against Roma in this Derby della Capitale. The hosts have won five consecutive matches and are expected to generate 2.09 goals, whilst Roma's impressive form—three wins and two draws from their last five—should yield around 1.75 goals.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Lazio the favourites at 38% — Lazio 38%, the draw 26% and Roma 36%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 71% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.