We use privacy-friendly analytics to understand traffic. With your consent we also load Google Analytics. No analytics cookies are set until you accept. See our privacy policy.
Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Fri, 4 Dec 2026
AI preview
Roma are favoured, clearly, with a 49 per cent win probability against Bologna's 27 per cent. The model projects 2.25 expected goals for Roma and 1.78 for Bologna. Bologna have won four of their last five matches, including three consecutive wins, whilst Roma have won three of five with two draws, currently on a two-match winning run.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Roma the favourites at 49% — Bologna 27%, the draw 24% and Roma 49%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 77% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.