Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germainprediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Fri, 4 Dec 2026

AI preview

Paris Saint-Germain are strongly favoured to win, with a 55% chance of victory compared to Toulouse's 22%. The model expects PSG to create more, forecasting 1.97 expected goals against Toulouse's 1.47. PSG arrive in outstanding form with five consecutive wins, while Toulouse have drawn three of their last five matches without defeat.

Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

ToulouseParis Saint-Germain

Toulouse 23%Draw 22%Paris Saint-Germain 55%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

68%

Both teams score

68%

The rolling-strength model makes Paris Saint-Germain the favourites at 55% — Toulouse 23%, the draw 22% and Paris Saint-Germain 55%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 68% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.

Toulouse — recent form

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Paris Saint-Germain — recent form

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