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Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sat, 12 Dec 2026
AI preview
Stade Brestois are favoured clearly, with a 51% win probability against Troyes' 25%. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for the hosts and 1.07 for the visitors. Both sides have struggled recently, each recording one win, one draw and three losses across their last five matches, though Troyes arrive on the back of a victory while Brestois suffered their most recent defeat.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Stade Brestois the favourites at 52% — Stade Brestois 52%, the draw 25% and Troyes 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 54% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.