Nice vs Lilleprediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

NiceLille

Nice 25%Draw 27%Lille 48%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Both teams score

42%

The rolling-strength model makes Lille the favourites at 48% — Nice 25%, the draw 27% and Lille 48%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 36% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.