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La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026
AI preview
Real Madrid are strongly favoured with a 76 per cent win probability. The model expects Madrid to dominate on expected goals (2.38 to 1.08), backed by their current run of three consecutive wins from five recent matches. Osasuna arrive in poor form with just one win from their last five games and have lost their most recent fixture.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Real Madrid the favourites at 81% — Real Madrid 81%, the draw 12% and Osasuna 7%. The most likely scoreline is 3–1, with a 75% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.