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Model favoured Espanyol · expected score 1–2 · actual 0–0.
The model rates Espanyol higher than the consensus here. Observation only — the market consensus is typically sharper.
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% |
Probabilities derived from the model's expected goals. For analysis only.
Starting XI & formation from the official line-up. Positions are by line (GK/DEF/MID/FWD).
Girona FC and Espanyol played out a goalless draw in a tightly contested encounter on Matchday 7. Despite Girona's dominance in possession, neither side could find the breakthrough. The clearest opportunity fell to Girona's Vladyslav Vanat in the 52nd minute, but his effort was saved. The biggest momentum swing came in the final minute, favouring Espanyol, though it proved inconsequential in determining the outcome.
The result reflected an even game on the balance of chances. Girona recorded 1.01 xG from twelve shots, whilst Espanyol created slightly more with 1.08 xG despite attempting twenty shots. Both teams demonstrated defensive solidity, with neither goalkeeper seriously troubled throughout. The draw represented a fair outcome given the underlying data, though Espanyol's efficiency in chance creation was notable given their greater shot volume.
AI-assisted, generated only from this match's xG, shots and win-probability model.
Win probability from a strength-based Poisson model (team attack/defence ratings → expected goals, projected over the time remaining).