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Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sun, 6 Dec 2026
AI preview
Newcastle United are favoured by the model, clearly, with a 49 per cent win probability against Sunderland's 27 per cent, though a draw at 24 per cent remains plausible. Expected goals are closely matched at 1.53 for Newcastle and 1.5 for Sunderland. Newcastle have won two of their last five matches, while Sunderland remain winless in five, with one draw and four losses.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Newcastle United the favourites at 47% — Newcastle United 47%, the draw 24% and Sunderland 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 61% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.