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Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Wed, 2 Dec 2026
AI preview
Manchester City are strongly favoured to win this fixture, with a 67% probability of victory. The expected goals model suggests City will create more chances (1.96 to 1.11), though they arrive on the back of two consecutive defeats. Leeds have drawn three of their last five matches but lost their most recent game.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Manchester City the favourites at 67% — Manchester City 67%, the draw 19% and Leeds United 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 59% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.