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Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sat, 12 Dec 2026
AI preview
Manchester City are strongly favoured to win, with a 64 per cent chance of victory. The expected goals model suggests City should create more, projecting 2.13 to Chelsea's 1.2. City have won three of their last five but arrive in poor form with two consecutive defeats, whilst Chelsea have three wins from five and most recently won.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Manchester City the favourites at 64% — Manchester City 64%, the draw 20% and Chelsea 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 65% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.