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Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sat, 12 Dec 2026
AI preview
Liverpool are strongly favoured with a 56% win probability. The hosts have won three of their last five matches and are on a two-game winning run, while Leeds have drawn three and lost two of their previous five, most recently suffering defeat. Liverpool's expected goals of 1.47 exceed Leeds's 1.02.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Liverpool the favourites at 54% — Liverpool 54%, the draw 25% and Leeds United 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 43% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.