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Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Wed, 2 Dec 2026
AI preview
Aston Villa are favoured clearly, with a 49% chance of victory compared to Everton's 26%, though a draw at 25% remains plausible. The expected goals model gives Villa a marginal edge at 1.48 to 1.29. Villa arrive in strong form with three wins and two draws from five matches, whilst Everton have won just once in five games and currently trail with two consecutive defeats.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Aston Villa the favourites at 46% — Aston Villa 46%, the draw 25% and Everton 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1–2, with a 56% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.