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Premier League 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026
The rolling-strength model makes Manchester City the favourites at 38% — Manchester United 36%, the draw 25% and Manchester City 38%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 63% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.