Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07prediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 3 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07

Borussia Dortmund 68%Draw 19%SC Paderborn 07 13%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Both teams score

49%

The rolling-strength model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourites at 68% — Borussia Dortmund 68%, the draw 19% and SC Paderborn 07 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 49% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.