Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SVprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 1 · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Borussia DortmundHamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund 78%Draw 14%Hamburger SV 8%

Expected score

3–1

Over 2.5 goals

72%

Both teams score

57%

The rolling-strength model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourites at 78% — Borussia Dortmund 78%, the draw 14% and Hamburger SV 8%. The most likely scoreline is 3–1, with a 72% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.