Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05prediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 15 · Sat, 9 Jan 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Borussia Dortmund1. FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund 67%Draw 18%1. FSV Mainz 05 16%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

74%

Both teams score

70%

The rolling-strength model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourites at 67% — Borussia Dortmund 67%, the draw 18% and 1. FSV Mainz 05 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 74% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.