Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlinprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 23 · Sat, 27 Feb 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Borussia Dortmund1. FC Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund 75%Draw 15%1. FC Union Berlin 10%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

66%

Both teams score

61%

The rolling-strength model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourites at 75% — Borussia Dortmund 75%, the draw 15% and 1. FC Union Berlin 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 66% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.