Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzigprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

Bayer 04 LeverkusenRB Leipzig

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 52%Draw 22%RB Leipzig 26%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

79%

Both teams score

76%

The rolling-strength model makes Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourites at 52% — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 52%, the draw 22% and RB Leipzig 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 79% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.