1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07prediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 1 · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

1. FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07

1. FSV Mainz 05 50%Draw 24%SC Paderborn 07 26%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Both teams score

58%

The rolling-strength model makes 1. FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 50% — 1. FSV Mainz 05 50%, the draw 24% and SC Paderborn 07 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 58% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.