1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburgprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 13 · Sat, 12 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

1. FSV Mainz 05SC Freiburg

1. FSV Mainz 05 55%Draw 22%SC Freiburg 24%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

69%

Both teams score

61%

The rolling-strength model makes 1. FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 55% — 1. FSV Mainz 05 55%, the draw 22% and SC Freiburg 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 69% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.