1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SVprediction

Bundesliga 2025/26 · Matchday 19 · Sat, 30 Jan 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

1. FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV

1. FSV Mainz 05 62%Draw 19%Hamburger SV 19%

Expected score

3–1

Over 2.5 goals

80%

Both teams score

68%

The rolling-strength model makes 1. FSV Mainz 05 the favourites at 62% — 1. FSV Mainz 05 62%, the draw 19% and Hamburger SV 19%. The most likely scoreline is 3–1, with a 80% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.