Switzerland 0–0 Colombia

All matches

Switzerland

0–0

Colombia

0.35 xGexpected goals1.05 xG

7 Jul 2026 21:00 Matchday 5 Iván Barton

Penalty shootout

4 – 3

Switzerland

Granit Xhaka

Zeki Amdouni

Manuel Akanji

Cédric Itten

Rubén Vargas

Colombia

Juan Fernando Quintero

Davinson Sánchez

Jaminton Campaz

Cucho Hernández

Luis Díaz

Shootout kicks are excluded from the match score and xG.

Pre-match model prediction

Missed

Switzerland49%Draw27%Colombia24%

Model favoured Switzerland · expected score 2–1 · actual 0–0.

Scoreline & goals

from expected goals · Poisson

Total goals — probability over / under each line

Line	Over	Under
0.5	92%	8%
1.5	71%	29%
2.5	46%	54%
3.5	24%	76%
4.5	11%	89%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Most likely score

1–0

12%

Probabilities derived from the model's expected goals. For analysis only.

Form coming in (last 5)

Switzerland

d w w w

Colombia

w w d w

Match analysis

Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless draw. The chances were Colombia's, though — 1.1 xG to 0.3 — two points that got away. The model had leaned toward Switzerland (49%), so the draw went against the pre-match numbers.

0.35xG1.05

7Shots15

2On target3

0Big chances1

Match flow — cumulative xG swing

Switzerland aboveColombia dominated xG by 0.7Colombia below

Win probability replay — press play

Switzerland

0–0

90'

Colombia

90'

Related matches

Switzerland

Argentina 3–1 SwitzerlandMD27 Switzerland 2–0 AlgeriaMD6 Switzerland 2–1 CanadaMD3

Colombia

Colombia 1–0 GhanaMD6 Colombia 0–0 PortugalMD3 Colombia 1–0 DR CongoMD2

Win probability from a strength-based Poisson model (team attack/defence ratings → expected goals, projected over the time remaining).

All matches

Switzerland

0–0

Colombia

0.35 xGexpected goals1.05 xG

7 Jul 2026 21:00 Matchday 5 Iván Barton

Penalty shootout

4 – 3

Switzerland

Granit Xhaka

Zeki Amdouni

Manuel Akanji

Cédric Itten

Rubén Vargas

Colombia

Juan Fernando Quintero

Davinson Sánchez

Jaminton Campaz

Cucho Hernández

Luis Díaz

Shootout kicks are excluded from the match score and xG.

Pre-match model prediction

Missed

Switzerland49%Draw27%Colombia24%

Model favoured Switzerland · expected score 2–1 · actual 0–0.

Scoreline & goals

from expected goals · Poisson

Total goals — probability over / under each line

Line	Over	Under
0.5	92%	8%
1.5	71%	29%
2.5	46%	54%
3.5	24%	76%
4.5	11%	89%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Most likely score

1–0

12%

Probabilities derived from the model's expected goals. For analysis only.

Form coming in (last 5)

Switzerland

d w w w

Colombia

w w d w

Match analysis

0.35xG1.05

7Shots15

2On target3

0Big chances1

Match flow — cumulative xG swing

Switzerland aboveColombia dominated xG by 0.7Colombia below

Win probability replay — press play

Switzerland

0–0

90'

Colombia

90'

Related matches

Switzerland

Argentina 3–1 SwitzerlandMD27 Switzerland 2–0 AlgeriaMD6 Switzerland 2–1 CanadaMD3

Colombia

Colombia 1–0 GhanaMD6 Colombia 0–0 PortugalMD3 Colombia 1–0 DR CongoMD2

Win probability from a strength-based Poisson model (team attack/defence ratings → expected goals, projected over the time remaining).