Sassuolo vs Genoaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sun, 22 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

SassuoloGenoa

Sassuolo 50%Draw 26%Genoa 24%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Both teams score

51%

The rolling-strength model makes Sassuolo the favourites at 50% — Sassuolo 50%, the draw 26% and Genoa 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 49% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.