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Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026
AI preview
Fiorentina are narrowly favoured at 40 per cent to win, with Parma at 33 per cent and a draw at 28 per cent. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Parma and 1.52 for Fiorentina. Both sides have struggled recently: Parma won one of their last five matches, while Fiorentina remain winless in their last five, though both drew most recently.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 43% — Parma 31%, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 43%. The most likely scoreline is 1–2, with a 54% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.