Parma vs Bolognaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat, 7 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

ParmaBologna

Parma 31%Draw 28%Bologna 41%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Both teams score

49%

The rolling-strength model makes Bologna the favourites at 41% — Parma 31%, the draw 28% and Bologna 41%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 44% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.