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Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sat, 5 Dec 2026
AI preview
Napoli are strongly favoured to beat Lecce, with a 73% win probability and expected goals of 2.76 to 1.11. Napoli have won two of their last five matches with two draws, whilst Lecce have won just one of their last five and are currently on two consecutive defeats.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Napoli the favourites at 71% — Napoli 71%, the draw 18% and Lecce 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 67% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.