Monza vs Fiorentinaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Mon, 23 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

MonzaFiorentina

Monza 36%Draw 26%Fiorentina 38%

Expected score

2–2

Over 2.5 goals

64%

Both teams score

65%

The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 38% — Monza 36%, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 38%. The most likely scoreline is 2–2, with a 64% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.