Monza vs Atalantaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

MonzaAtalanta

Monza 34%Draw 23%Atalanta 43%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

60%

Both teams score

57%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 43% — Monza 34%, the draw 23% and Atalanta 43%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 60% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.