Milan vs Lecceprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

MilanLecce

Milan 66%Draw 20%Lecce 14%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

63%

Both teams score

58%

The rolling-strength model makes Milan the favourites at 66% — Milan 66%, the draw 20% and Lecce 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 63% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities, not bookmaker odds — analysis only.