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Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sun, 6 Dec 2026
AI preview
Lazio are strongly favoured to beat Atalanta, with a 58 per cent win probability. The expected goals model projects 2.45 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors. Lazio arrive in excellent form with five consecutive wins, whilst Atalanta have struggled recently, recording one win, two draws and two losses across their last five matches.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Lazio the favourites at 56% — Lazio 56%, the draw 23% and Atalanta 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 66% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.