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Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Mon, 7 Dec 2026
AI preview
Fiorentina are favoured, clearly, with a 48 per cent win probability against Cagliari's 27 per cent. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for the hosts and 1.49 for the visitors. Fiorentina have drawn two and lost three of their last five matches, while Cagliari have won one, drawn one and lost three, currently on a run of three consecutive defeats.
Written by AI from our model's numbers and each side's recent results — no team news or line-ups.
The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 51% — Fiorentina 51%, the draw 25% and Cagliari 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 66% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.