Fiorentina vs Atalantaprediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Thu, 29 Oct 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

FiorentinaAtalanta

Fiorentina 42%Draw 26%Atalanta 33%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams score

59%

The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 42% — Fiorentina 42%, the draw 26% and Atalanta 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 62% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.