Venezia vs Fiorentinaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

VeneziaFiorentina

Venezia 31%Draw 30%Fiorentina 39%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

33%

Both teams score

40%

The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 39% — Venezia 31%, the draw 30% and Fiorentina 39%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 33% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.