Sassuolo vs Genoaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 12 · Sun, 22 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

SassuoloGenoa

Sassuolo 46%Draw 27%Genoa 26%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams score

51%

The rolling-strength model makes Sassuolo the favourites at 46% — Sassuolo 46%, the draw 27% and Genoa 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 48% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.