Roma vs Monzaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 13 · Sun, 29 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

RomaMonza

Roma 84%Draw 12%Monza 4%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

59%

Both teams score

39%

The rolling-strength model makes Roma the favourites at 84% — Roma 84%, the draw 12% and Monza 4%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 59% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.