Parma vs Fiorentinaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 15 · Sun, 13 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

ParmaFiorentina

Parma 31%Draw 30%Fiorentina 39%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

29%

Both teams score

36%

The rolling-strength model makes Fiorentina the favourites at 39% — Parma 31%, the draw 30% and Fiorentina 39%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 29% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.