Napoli vs Lecceprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 14 · Sun, 6 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

NapoliLecce

Napoli 70%Draw 19%Lecce 10%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Both teams score

41%

The rolling-strength model makes Napoli the favourites at 70% — Napoli 70%, the draw 19% and Lecce 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 43% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.