Napoli vs Bolognaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 4 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

NapoliBologna

Napoli 57%Draw 26%Bologna 18%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Both teams score

39%

The rolling-strength model makes Napoli the favourites at 57% — Napoli 57%, the draw 26% and Bologna 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 35% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.