Monza vs Parmaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 36 · Sun, 16 May 2027

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

MonzaParma

Monza 34%Draw 29%Parma 38%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Both teams score

42%

The rolling-strength model makes Parma the favourites at 38% — Monza 34%, the draw 29% and Parma 38%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 36% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.