Monza vs Atalantaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 11 · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

MonzaAtalanta

Monza 15%Draw 24%Atalanta 60%

Expected score

1–1

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Both teams score

39%

The rolling-strength model makes Atalanta the favourites at 60% — Monza 15%, the draw 24% and Atalanta 60%. The most likely scoreline is 1–1, with a 35% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.