Milan vs Parmaprediction

Serie A 2025/26 · Matchday 14 · Sun, 6 Dec 2026

Model forecast

win / draw / loss probabilities from the rolling-strength model

MilanParma

Milan 64%Draw 22%Parma 14%

Expected score

2–1

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Both teams score

48%

The rolling-strength model makes Milan the favourites at 64% — Milan 64%, the draw 22% and Parma 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2–1, with a 53% chance of more than 2.5 goals. These are the model's own probabilities — analysis only, not advice of any kind.